The Probabilities of Conditionals Revisited
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
The Probabilities of Conditionals Revisited
According to what is now commonly referred to as "the Equation" in the literature on indicative conditionals, the probability of any indicative conditional equals the probability of its consequent of the conditional given the antecedent of the conditional. Philosophers widely agree in their assessment that the triviality arguments of Lewis and others have conclusively shown the Equation to be t...
متن کاملAlan Hajek Probabilities of Conditionals - Revisited
Is a rational agent’s subjective probability assignment to a conditional always the same as the corresponding subjective conditional probability? The hypothesis that it is has come to be known as Stalnaker’s Hypothesis:’ (SW P(A -+ C) = P(C/A) whenever P(A) > 0 where + is a conditional connective, and P(C/A) = P(CA)/P(A). (SH) has been the subject of much debate. I hope to show in this paper th...
متن کاملProbabilities of Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities Ii
A dams's thesis about indicative conditionals is that their assertIlability goes by the conditional subjective probability of the consequent given the antecedent, in very much the same way that assertability normally goes by the subjective probability of truth.' The thesis is well established; the remaining question is how it may best be explained. The nicest explanation would be that the truth...
متن کاملKaufmann on the Probabilities of Conditionals
Kaufmann has recently argued that the thesis according to which the probability of an indicative conditional equals the conditional probability of the consequent given the antecedent under certain specifiable circumstances deviates from intuition. He presents a method for calculating the probability of a conditional that does seem to give the intuitively correct result under those circumstances...
متن کاملConditionals, Conditional Probabilities, and Conditionalization
Philosophers investigating the interpretation and use of conditional sentences have long been intrigued by the intuitive correspondence between the probability of a conditional ‘if A, then C’ and the conditional probability of C, given A. Attempts to account for this intuition within a general probabilistic theory of belief, meaning and use have been plagued by a danger of trivialization, which...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Cognitive Science
سال: 2013
ISSN: 0364-0213
DOI: 10.1111/cogs.12025